Pacific Capital Associates


Inflation Risk and the Mythical Gold Bubble

The following is excerpted, with very
minor edits, from a letter to investment clients sent out on January
20, 2010.

Inflation Risk
We've explained many times
our strongly-held conviction that in the
years ahead, the dollar is going to lose a significant amount of
purchasing power against things that people need to buy. 

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The Recovery(?) and the Outlook for US Stocks

The following is excerpted from a letter
to investment clients sent out on January 20, 2010.

The Recovery(?)
In a client letter written in April 2009, we made the bold (at the
time) suggestion that
regardless of the long-term structural issues facing the US economy, it
was entirely possible that the jaw-dropping levels of economic stimulus
underway at the time could create some sort of cyclical economic
rebound.  This claim seems less crazy now, as there has clearly
been a rebound in various sectors of the economy. 

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contact new

 

Pacific Capital Associates
3914 Murphy Canyon Rd, Ste A168
San Diego, CA 92123
Map
Phone: (858) 560-5244
Fax: (858) 673-2604

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About New

FAQs new

General

  • What do you do, exactly?
  • What makes you different from other firms?
  • Who are you?
  • What is your relationship with Girard Securities?

Investing Approach

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US Not Going Down Japan's Road
March 16, 2009
The US Government Will Not Choose Deflation January 7, 2009

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US Stocks Overpriced Once Again

Back in June of 2008, we wrote that the US stock market -- then at 1,377 on the S&P 500 -- was priced for poor returns. We were talking about prospective long-term returns, but as everyone knows, the market experienced an epic crash beginning just a few months later.

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Short-Term Gain, Long-Term Pain from the Biggest Stimulus Ever

The following thoughts on the economic stimulus and its potential outcomes are excerpted from a letter to clients sent out on April 20, 2009.
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The Stock Rebound
You may have noticed that stocks in general have made quite a rebound over the past couple of months. As I write this, the S&P 500 has moved up nearly 35% from its early-March lows. Also beneficial to our portfolios, the dollar has dropped pretty sharply over that same period and many of the inflation-hedge themes we favor have done quite well.

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